30 people polled, writers and fighter and such, and 29 of them were on the same page, picking Canelo Alvarez to beat Amir Khan.
When have you found, as I saw on the RING website, such a concentration of people being right at the same time?
Like when all the experts said Donald Trump's campaign was a side show? A freak show? Merely a bid to gain buzz for his brand?
I wondered, is it not time to employ some contrarian wisdom, break from the pack and the lock-step analysis? Should I switch my pick, and lean to Khan to spring the upset, fulfill the David role in Las Vegas tomorrow night at the MGM, and on pay per view?
Nah, said New York based promoter Lou Dibella. Canelo will win, by stoppage, he predicted, under seven full rounds.
“You shouldn't change your pick, those 29 are right,” said the promoter, now working on the June 25 Thurman-Porter card at Barclays Center. “It's not very often a true 140, 147 goes up to meet a 160, who will be a light heavyweight on fight night. I looked at pics, and I'm not so sure Khan wouldn't have been better served by weighing like 149, 150. He looks a little big.” The bulk could lessen his speed, make him easier to hit, goes the theory. “To win, Khan needs perfection. Canelo just needs to be typical. And I'm not even sure if he fights the perfect fight, he never gets hit with something big.”
Fair enough; I'm still wary about that pack mentality. 29 of 30 “experts?”