Whether you're betting or just interested in how the oddsmakers see it, I've got all the information you need regarding the Song vs Simon odds.
What a main event we've got to look forward to! This fight has a lot looming overhead; not only will this fight push the winner closer to the top five, but the bantamweight title is on the line next weekend. Should Song or Simon win emphatically, their win will be in mind as the bantamweight title picture is given more solidarity next weekend.
Ricky Simon hasn't been as active as he'd like to be. Having fought three times in 2021 but then just once in 2022, the 30-year-old would like to make 2023 an active year of fighting up the ranks. In Simon's last outing, he was able to upset Jack Shore, giving him his first loss. Prior to that, Simon had another four wins stringed together.
Simon has only lost via KO/TKO once, this was against Urijah Faber. He was caught with a right hand that Faber claims Song Yadong taught him. Perhaps I'm stirring up drama where there isn't any, but this seems like a chance for Simon to right a wrong.
Song Yadong is no easy wrong to right, though. This man has bombs in his hands and some very dangerous standup skills.
Moneyline: Song vs Simon Odds
Per these odds, Ricky Simon is a ever-so-slight favorite in this matchup. He's got the momentum, and he's got a very wide arsenal in his attack. If I had to put my finger on it, the oddsmakers are thinking that the the grappling of Simon will be the the winning factor in this fight.
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Ricky Simon -175
Song Yadong +130 |
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Ricky Simon -125
Song Yadong +105 |
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Ricky Simon -117
Song Yadong -106 |
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All three of our bookies here have Ricky Simon as their guy for this weekend's action. This is one of those fights where there really is no safe bet, and that makes things much more exciting. Both Simon and Song have finished half, or more, of their fights and both have only been stopped twice each.
So, at the highest level of competition, both parts of our main event have been able to finish and do a pretty great job at not getting finished. What are the odds of this fight involving the judges? I'm glad you asked. Let's get into that.
Method of Victory: Song vs Simon Odds
Across the board, it looks like it's favorable that Simon will win by decision. However, if it is Song that leaves with a win, the odds for that favor a knockout.
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Simon via KO/TKO +700
Simon via submission +400
Simon via decision +215
Song via KO/TKO +200
Song via submission +1000
Song via decision +500 |
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Simon via KO/TKO +600
Simon via submission +450
Simon via decision +200
Song via KO/TKO +175
Song via submission +1000
Song via decision +500 |
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Simon via KO/TKO +750
Simon via submission +500
Simon via decision +225
Song via KO/TKO +195
Song via submission +1150
Song via decision +540 |
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That's fair. As I mentioned earlier, Song Yadong taught Faber the punch that resulted in Simon's lone KO loss. Additionally, Yadong showed in his last bout against Corey Sandhagen that he can most certainly take a good punch. So, for the safe betters out there, Simon by decision is, by the numbers, safest.
But, if you're like me and you like a good underdog bet, the safest for that avenue would be Song's hands keeping the judges out of things. The number that really jumps off of the page is Song via submission, which is at +1150. So, if you've got faith that Song Yadong is going to get that calf-slicer submission, here's your chance to make some big money.
Round to win: Song vs Simon Odds
As mentioned before, the safest bet is Simon via decision. But, safe bets can be boring. You know what's not boring? A fight finish. Let's delve into what round, should there be a stoppage, the pundits think the fight will close.
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Simon round 1 +800
Simon round 2 +1200
Simon round 3 +1600
Simon round 4 +2000
Simon round 5 +2500
Song Round 1 +500
Song round 2 +850
Song round 3 +1100
Song round 4 +1600
Song round 5 +2200 |
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Simon round 1 +800
Simon round 2 +1200
Simon round 3 +1600
Simon round 4 +2000
Simon round 5 +2500
Song Round 1 +500
Song round 2 +800
Song round 3 +1100
Song round 4 +1600
Song round 5 +2200 |
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Simon round 1 +1050
Simon round 2 +1300
Simon round 3 +1700
Simon round 4 +2000
Simon round 5 +2500
Song Round 1 +540
Song round 2 +850
Song round 3 +1150
Song round 4 +1900
Song round 5 +2500 |
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These numbers favor Song for an early stoppage. The odds crescendo upwards, meaning more unlikely, that either fighter will get a stoppage as the fight drags out. The past three stoppage wins for Simon have come in the second round, but that stat didn't seem to alter the odds from thinking that he's most dangerous in the first.
Song has three first round finishes in the UFC. He's a durable fighter and his power will carry on into the later rounds, but I can see wat the oddsmakers are getting at here. It's expected that if he clips Simon, like Faber did, it will be early, before Ricky can figure the striking out. Early for Song isn't a bad bet; in fact, it's the best bet for a stoppage.
Song vs Simon: What's Expected?
A great bantamweight scrap is what's expected! Both of these guys are incredible, and even though I was grumpy that I didn't catch this fight last week, I'm glad it's now a five round main event with adequate attention on it. The pace and action that both Simon and Song bring into the octagon is nothing short of awe-inspiring.
Where Does The Winner Go?
So, the entire top 20 of bantamweight has a case for a title shot.
While that's definitely hyperbole, 135lbs has so many solid contenders, it's hard to matchmake because when one person gets a title shot, there's about three that should've gotten it instead. Will the winner of Song vs Simon get a title shot next? No. At least, I hope not.
However, they could very well find themselves in a number one contender eliminator. Simon vs Sandhagen? Song vs the loser of Sterling vs Cejudo? Count me in. Obviously, there's a lot of moving parts, and I'm spit-balling those potential fights, but that's the situation we're in at bantamweight.
UFC Vegas 72 odds: What Do They Tell?
First and foremost, the odds tell us that we've got a good, hard to predict, fight on our hands! I'll personally send an edible arrangement to the matchmaker that put this fight together. They deserve it. But, to dive a bit further, they tell that there are methods for either fighter to win.
For Simon, he'll need to mix things up. Should he do this well, it's likely that the judges will see him walking away with a six-fight winning streak. But, the numbers also tell us that Song's finishing ability is an issue. Ricky isn't an easy fight, and it's not like he has any blatant weaknesses, but Song's power will make a chinny fighter out of anyone.
We love seeing dominant fighters continue to dominate and underdogs shocking the world. But, close fights like this need appreciation; all of the betters' and observers' opinions have been pooled together and placed as a moneyline, and in this case, it's nearly a coin toss. Let's see what happens come fight time,