Oliveira vs Tsarukyan Prediction: “Do Bronx” Is Too Slow Nowadays
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Vladislav Tchakarov
It feel strange to see Charles Oliveira in an early fight but it is what it is. He will face Arman Tsarukyan in a bout that will probably cause some rotations in the lightweight rankings. Here is our Oliveira vs Tsarukyan prediction.
UFC 300: Oliveira vs Tsarukyan Prediction
Charles Oliveira Preview
Strangely enough, Oliveira's last fight did not improve his status despite the high-profile of the opponent. Charles looked slow and never tried to defend himself. He was fortunate that Dariush is not a top puncher but he will not be this lucky against Arman, who has brutal strength for a lightweight.
Charles will probably try to work as the first number in the opening round, assuming that Arman's coaches tell him not to pursue early takedowns. Charles always tries to get a quick finish and this could lead to his downfall here, despite his experience.
Honestly, it is a bit hard to believe in Charles' chances in this case. Arman has no weak sides, he has 9 KO wins and 5 submission wins in his career. He has immense power, top notch wrestling, and can fight all day if necessary.
Charles has to finish the fight early. His chances diminish with every passing round. Arman will take advantage of his slow movement and will increase the pace. Even if we do not see a knockout, Tsarukyan can win on points comfortably. Yet, we can't make our final Oliveira vs Tsarukyan prediction without analyzing his opponent.
Arman Tsarukyan Preview
Arman Tsarukyan is a former MFP lightweight champion and a three-time Russian grappling champ. He has a record of 21-3-0 in his professional career. One of his defeats came from the current champion, Islam Makhachev, but it was almost five years ago.
The Brazilian's experience, wrestling skills, and tenacity are unlikely to frighten Arman and force him to change his game plan. From the very first seconds of the fight, he will put pressure on Oliveira in the hope of finding a successful series that knocks him down, as Islam and many others did before him.
Of course, Oliveira will never fall without a fight and Arman will hardly finish him even with a knockdown. We believe that Arman has to switch from number 1 to number 2 and try to counter Oliveira when he makes mistakes.
The fact remains that Oliveira has not shown anything new in years and Arman will have a very clear idea how to fight him. His problem is that he is very emotional when he fights. In the past, he hardly knew how to control his fights and often failed to seize the moment.
Charles Oliveira vs Arman Tsarukyan Prediction: Akhalkalakets for the Win
Looking at Tsarukyan's current streak, technical progress and drive, we believe that he is capable of finishing Charles in the clinch, at close range, or on the ground. Of course, this greatly depends on whether Arman will be able to control his emotions and utilize his full arsenal. Even if he stagnates a bit, he has the advantage in strength, speed, and endurance. He only lacks the experience at this level.
This is a massive fight for both athletes. Islam Makhachev is fairly inactive as a champion and Dana White has great plans for him already. This means that the defeat here guarantees that the loser will have to spend another two years fighting before earning a title shot. In turn, the winner of this bout is likely to be next in line for Makhachev, if he too wins his next fight.
We do not expect a decision here. One way or another, we have two fighters who can win early and their styles make it quite possible that we will not even reach the third round. With this said, our final Oliveira vs Tsarukyan prediction should be pretty obvious.
Vlad is a former amateur MMA fighter. After a series of injuries, he found a different way to connect with the sport and its fanbase - through writing. He's been covering everything-UFC for over 5 years on various platforms and has been part of the team at NYFights since early 2022.
